Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e....

Vol 24h: $9.0M Total: $142.4M Liq: $4.7M Ends: 2026-07-20 Trade on Polymarket →
0%
Yes
100%
No
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On-chain price
0%
Yes
100%
No

Community Lobby

Rep-weighted
0.0%
Yes
100.0%
No
No 100.0%
0 contributors (wt: 0.0) 1 contributor (wt: 0.3)

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99%
AI estimate

The 2026 FIFA World Cup concluded yesterday, July 6th, and the USA did not win.

The current odds of 1% for the USA to win the 2026 World Cup imply an extremely low probability, making a "Yes" position a highly speculative, long-shot bet. Given the substantial $8 million daily volume on the "No" side at 99%, investors might consider selling "Yes" contracts if available to capture the high premium, or buying "No" contracts as a relatively safe bet reflecting the market's strong conviction against the USA winning.

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Community Insights

1 insights • Sorted by quality × reputation
AmericanDream 🐟 fish Lobbying: No (85%)
Q: 50 92d ago

USA hosting advantage is real but the squad quality is not there yet. Pulisic alone cant carry a World Cup campaign. 1 percent is about right.

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Rep weight: 0.33
0% Yes 100% No
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