Genoa: Lorenzo Sonego vs Francesco Passaro
At an 88% implied probability ($240k volume), Passaro is heavily priced to win, but the market appears overextended given Sonego’s higher baseline ATP pedigree, making Passaro's price too steep to back. Investors should target high-upside value by taking a small position on Sonego at 12% (+733 implied) or waiting to lay Passaro live if Sonego finds early momentum.
About this market
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Francesco Passaro in the Genoa, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Francesco Passaro. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Passaro' if Francesco Passaro advances against Lorenzo Sonego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days
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Market resolves: 2026-09-14