US Open ATP: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Alex de Minaur
This market exhibits a classic recency bias overreaction, pricing Botic van de Zandschulp at an inflated 72% following his upset of Carlos Alcaraz, while heavily discounting the higher-ranked, more consistent Alex de Minaur. Given the strong 24-hour liquidity of $583,044, investors should take the value by buying "Yes" on de Minaur at 28% (or shorting van de Zandschulp) to exploit the favorable risk-reward asymmetry against a historically volatile player.
About this market
This market refers to the tennis match between Botic van de Zandschulp and Alex de Minaur in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Botic van de Zandschulp' if Botic van de Zandschulp advances against Alex de Minaur. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Botic van de Zandschulp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 1
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Market resolves: 2026-09-10