Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Current Prediction Market Odds
Updated hourly
2%
Yes
98%
No
Volume 24h: $176.3K
Total volume: $2.0M
Liquidity: $174.8K
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such valu
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Market resolves: 2026-08-31