Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 13?
This market presents a **strong arbitrage opportunity for "No" investors** given the extremely low "Yes" probability implies a near-certain outcome, yet the substantial volume suggests some "Yes" bets are still being placed. Investors should **short "Yes" or buy "No" to capitalize on the mispricing**, as the implied probability of Bitcoin being above $66,000 on July 13th is clearly out of sync with current market sentiment and historical volatility.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is
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Market resolves: 2026-07-13