Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 20?
With the market heavily discounting a breakout at 9% odds, buying "No" offers a high-probability yield with strong liquidity to exit, though upside is capped at roughly 9.8%. Value investors anticipating a major volatility catalyst should only buy "Yes" as an asymmetric lottery ticket if they model the probability of a sudden rally above $74,000 to be greater than 10%.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is
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Market resolves: 2026-08-20