Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 14?
With "Yes" odds at 98% and strong liquidity, the market prices in near-certainty, offering negligible upside (~2% yield) for tying up capital on the favorite. Investors should avoid buying "Yes" and instead monitor Bitcoin's spot volatility for a cheap, high-asymmetry "No" hedge at 2 cents if downside risks emerge before September 14.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is
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Market resolves: 2026-09-14