Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 1 Winner
With high liquidity ($205k+ 24h volume) reducing slippage, Conventus Stellarum at 68% represents a stable favorites play, but their implied probability likely prices in standard drafting advantages. To capture positive expected value, monitor the live draft phase for an underdog entry on Team Nemesis at 32%, targeting an overreaction to early-game kills that could artificially inflate Nemesis's payout beyond their true win equity.
About this market
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 5 match between Team Nemesis and Conventus Stellarum in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win Game 1 against Conventus Stellarum. This market will resolve to "Conventus Stellarum" if Conventus Stellarum win Game 1 against Team Nemesis. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will
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Market resolves: 2026-09-23