Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
The "Yes" outcome for both teams to score is currently undervalued at 55%, presenting a potential arbitrage opportunity given the "No" is at 46% (implying a 101% market, assuming the odds are a direct reflection of probabilities). Investors should consider taking the "Yes" side, as the implied probability of 55% suggests a higher likelihood of the event occurring than the market is currently pricing, especially if your independent analysis puts the probability of "Yes" above 55%.
About this market
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Argentina, scheduled for July 19 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Spain and Argentina each score at least one goal during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score (i.e., if one or both teams finish with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve
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Market resolves: 2026-07-19