Will France win on 2026-07-18?
Investors are pricing in a 56% probability of France winning on 2026-07-18, suggesting a slight but not overwhelming favoritism. Consider selling "Yes" contracts if you believe France's true win probability is lower than 56%, or buying "No" contracts if you think the market is underestimating France's chances of losing, especially given the high volume indicating significant market interest.
About this market
In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 18, 2026 If France wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics
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Market resolves: 2026-07-18