Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Current Prediction Market Odds
Updated hourly
58%
Yes
42%
No
Volume 24h: $2.5M
Total volume: $3.3M
Liquidity: $87.9K
The market'
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date. Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation wit
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Market resolves: 2026-04-15