Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)
The extremely high implied probability for Lyon (94%) with substantial trading volume suggests a strong market consensus that G2 will lose by more than 1.5 games, making a bet on G2 at 6% a highly contrarian and potentially value-rich play if you have strong fundamental reasons to believe the market has mispriced G2's chances of winning or keeping the game close. Conversely, the market is offering a very low return for betting on Lyon, indicating that the value from betting on the favorite has likely been arbitraged away, making it unattractive unless you are simply looking to park capital with a near-certain outcome, albeit with minimal profit potential.
About this market
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between G2 Esports and LYON in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 10 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports wins 2 or more games than LYON in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "LYON". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at
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Market resolves: 2026-07-10