New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Given the minuscule 4% implied probability for the Mets with significant volume, savvy investors should consider taking the Mets side if they believe the actual probability of a Mets win is even marginally higher than 4%, as this represents a substantial positive expected value bet against what appears to be an overly confident market. Conversely, if you strongly believe the Brewers' true win probability is truly 96% or higher, the market offers little upside and significant downside risk for the Brewers given the current odds.
About this market
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for July 22 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution s
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Market resolves: 2026-07-29