Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Current Prediction Market Odds
Updated hourly
22%
Yes
78%
No
Volume 24h: $796.8K
Total volume: $8.7M
Liquidity: $275.8K
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day
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Market resolves: 2026-04-30