US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Current Prediction Market Odds
Updated hourly
10%
Yes
90%
No
Volume 24h: $307.9K
Total volume: $1.9M
Liquidity: $336.9K
-Iran impasse, timeline
About this market
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, including a 60-day extendable period in which both countries committed to negotiate toward a “final deal” regarding Iran’s nuclear program and other topics. This market resolves to “Yes” if a qualifying written diplomatic instrument between the United States and Iran has been mutually signed or adopted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves to “No.” Unless the written instrument
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Market resolves: 2026-09-30