US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Current Prediction Market Odds
Updated hourly
78%
Yes
22%
No
Volume 24h: $195.4K
Total volume: $262.6K
Liquidity: $31.8K
About this market
This market will resolve to “No” if the United States takes a qualifying military action against Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United States, that directly impacts Iran. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones
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Market resolves: 2026-09-30