Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
At a 59% implied probability, the market is severely overvaluing a single player in a high-variance, multi-round Grand Slam two years away, especially given the historical unpredictability and injury risks in women's tennis. Investors should take the **"No" at 41% (or +144 implied value)**, as shorting an individual against the entire WTA field years in advance offers massive positive expected value.
About this market
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no wi
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Market resolves: 2026-09-13