Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Current Prediction Market Odds Updated hourly
1%
Yes
99%
No
Volume 24h: $1.4M Total volume: $12.0M Liquidity: $1.5M

The extremely low "Yes

About this market

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information f

What the crowd thinks

Market Price
1% Yes 99% No
Community Pulse
100% Yes 0% No

Expert Analysis (1)

ElTriFan fish Predicts: Yes

Mexico hosting gives them a huge edge. Home crowd factor in World Cups is historically massive. Plus the new generation with Edson Alvarez is solid. 1 percent is way too low.

Think you have an edge? Share your analysis or trade this market.

Join the Discussion Trade on Polymarket

Market resolves: 2026-07-20

Get the edge — weekly

Top divergences, biggest movers, and survey insights. No spam.