Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
Current Prediction Market Odds
Updated hourly
1%
Yes
99%
No
Volume 24h: $2.2M
Total volume: $4.6M
Liquidity: $17.6K
The extremely low
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Russia that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield. Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this
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Market resolves: 2026-06-30