Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Current Prediction Market Odds Updated hourly
100%
Yes
0%
No
Volume 24h: $484.0K Total volume: $1.9M Liquidity: $199.5K

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the imposition of a naval blockade on Iran, or on ships traveling to or from Iranian ports, or on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The announcement need not specify the full scope, duration, or enforcement parameters of t

Think you have an edge? Share your analysis or trade this market.

Market resolves: 2026-07-31

Get the edge — weekly

Top divergences, biggest movers, and survey insights. No spam.