National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
The market heavily favors Alexandrova, suggesting a strong consensus among participants that Sabalenka's 20% implied probability is significantly undervalued if there's any perceived chance of an upset or competitive match. Investors could consider taking a small, speculative long position on Sabalenka if their personal analysis suggests her true probability of winning is higher than 20%, capitalizing on the market's seemingly extreme pricing of Alexandrova.
About this market
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 9, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Ekaterina Alexandrova. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Alexandrova' if Ekaterina Alexandrova advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled da
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Market resolves: 2026-08-16