US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula
With high liquidity of nearly $300k, Sabalenka at 64% is appropriately priced as the favorite given her dominant hard-court power, but Pegula at 36% offers the superior risk-adjusted value if you anticipate her exploiting Sabalenka’s unforced errors in extended baseline rallies. Investors should consider taking the plus-money position on Pegula or waiting for in-play volatility to buy Sabalenka at a discounted entry point if she drops an early set.
About this market
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Jessica Pegula. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Pegula' if Jessica Pegula advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days a
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Market resolves: 2026-09-17