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Trump scraps threat of 20% fee on Hormuz cargo as US resumes blockade of Iran ports

The resumption of a naval blockade on Iranian ports indicates a shift toward military escalation rather than diplomatic resolution, significantly lowering the odds of a permanent peace deal.

Trump retreat over Hormuz tolls suggests he is struggling to end Iran war

Reports of the administration struggling to end the conflict suggest that diplomatic efforts are failing and the war is likely to persist.

Live updates: US carries out more strikes on Iran and begins blockade of Iranian ports - CNN

Active military strikes and the initiation of a blockade are direct escalations of hostilities that are antithetical to a permanent peace agreement.

Strait of Hormuz 'faultline' exposes weakness of the US-Iran deal

The exposure of fundamental weaknesses in current agreements undermines the stability required for a permanent peace deal by 2026.

Ceasefire Collapse Restores U.S. Leverage as Sanctions, Strikes Weaken Iran’s Hand - Foundation for Defense of Democracies

A collapsed ceasefire and renewed sanctions indicate a return to maximum pressure tactics rather than diplomatic resolution.