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Wall Street ends lower after Fed Chair Warsh reaffirms inflation fight - Reuters

Hawkish rhetoric from the Fed chair prioritizing inflation control increases the likelihood of further interest rate hikes rather than pauses or cuts.

Wall Street ends lower after Fed Chair Warsh reaffirms inflation fight - Reuters

Reaffirming the fight against inflation reduces the probability that the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady.

Trump promised a short Iran war. Six months later, he has few good options. - The Washington Post

An ongoing, protracted conflict in Iran increases regime instability, marginally raising the chances of an exiled opposition figure like Reza Pahlavi assuming power.

What Warsh's Jackson Hole speech signals about where interest rates are headed - Fox Business

Signals from prominent central banking figures regarding rate trajectory slightly inform expectations for Fed policy holds in upcoming meetings.

Six Months In, Iran Appears Stronger and U.S. Goals Unclear - The New York Times

Reports showing the current Iranian regime consolidating strength make a regime change or restoration led by Reza Pahlavi in 2026 even less likely.