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Trump scraps threat of 20% fee on Hormuz cargo as US resumes blockade of Iran ports

Resuming a blockade of ports is a significant escalation of hostilities that makes a permanent peace deal highly unlikely in the near term.

Live updates: US carries out more strikes on Iran and begins blockade of Iranian ports - CNN

Direct military strikes and a naval blockade are escalatory acts of war that directly contradict the path toward a permanent peace deal.

Strait of Hormuz 'faultline' exposes weakness of the US-Iran deal

The exposure of fundamental weaknesses in the current deal suggests a higher likelihood of collapse rather than a permanent peace agreement.

Ceasefire Collapse Restores U.S. Leverage as Sanctions, Strikes Weaken Iran’s Hand - Foundation for Defense of Democracies

A collapsed ceasefire and renewed sanctions indicate a return to maximum pressure tactics rather than diplomatic resolution.

France showcases 500 pro-Ukraine troops at Bastille Day - Reuters

While primarily political, the high-profile national celebration on Bastille Day (the date of the match) can provide a psychological and home-crowd morale boost for the national team.