Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ceasefire agreement r...

Vol 24h: $413.4K Total: $1.5M Liq: $63.6K Ends: 2026-11-01 Trade on Polymarket →

18%

Yes

82%

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On-chain price

18%

Yes

82%

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AI Analysis Gemini

88%

AI estimate

With under two months remaining until the deadline and both sides remaining entrenched with incompatible territorial and security demands, a formal ceasefire agreement within this narrow window is highly improbable.

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Related News

● Trump administration's 28-point Ukraine-Russia peace plan presented to Zelenskyy - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos ● Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 26, 2025 - Institute for the Study of War ● Putin–Trump call stalls Tomahawks but reactivates ceasefire discussions - Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) ● Trump calls for Ukraine war to halt with Russia in control of occupied territory: "Leave it the way it is" - CBS News ● Beyond Trump’s flip-flops on Putin, what might a Ukraine peace settlement look like? - Chatham House

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18% Yes 82% No $413.4K vol 24h

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