Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve accordin...

Vol 24h: $0 Total: $592.8K Liq: $27.9K Ends: 2027-06-30 Trade on Polymarket → Perps
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Hitting a precise 10-point vote share band (60–70%) is statistically difficult, and there is no confirmed Clacton by-election scheduled where Farage is guaranteed to land within that exact range.

Edge: The market's 96% probability for such an overly narrow and contingent event is absurdly high and likely distorted or mispriced, creating immense value on 'No'.

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