Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a f...

Vol 24h: $183.2K Total: $1.5M Liq: $22.2K Ends: 2027-01-01 Trade on Polymarket → Perps
22%
Yes
78%
No
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22%
Yes
78%
No

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76% No AI estimate that the answer is No · market says 78%

Given the short remaining window of under three months in 2026 and standard crypto volatility distributions, Ethereum is statistically more likely to maintain its price above $2,250 than experience a sharp downside breakdown.

With Ethereum currently trading well above this threshold and nearly three years of potential crypto-market volatility ahead, the 22% probability for "Yes" significantly underprices the likelihood of a standard cyclical drawdown hitting $2,250 before end-of-year 2026. Investors should take a long position on "Yes" to exploit this favorable asymmetric risk-reward, supported by healthy $268k daily liquidity for efficient entry.

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22% Yes 78% No
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