Spread: Colts (-4.5)

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Colts" if the Colts win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders...

Vol 24h: $215.0K Total: $228.4K Liq: $728.7K Ends: 2026-10-04 Trade on Polymarket → Perps
50%
Colts
50%
Commanders
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50%
Colts
50%
Commanders

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52%
AI estimate

Covering more than four points is historically difficult against an improved Commanders offense in what projects as a close, one-score matchup.

Edge: The market prices this as an even coin-flip, but getting 4.5 points gives the Commanders a slight edge to cover.

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