Spread: Alabama (-5.5)

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 3 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Alabama" if Alabama win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve t...

Vol 24h: $527.4K Total: $529.9K Liq: $93.3K Ends: 2026-10-03 Trade on Polymarket → Perps

50%

Alabama

50%

Mississippi State

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Save this market to your VoxOdds watchlist. We use market follows and outbound demand to decide which setups deserve deeper research notes.

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Polymarket Odds

On-chain price

50%

Alabama

50%

Mississippi State

Community Lobby

Rep-weighted

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Needs confirmation price discovery playbook 5m ago

Price discovery

Liquid 50/50 market; useful for research and news timing

Use news, rules, and surveys before taking a side

Side Research first Intraday to weekly YES 50% / NO 50% vol $400k liq $376k risk 33/100

Catalyst verifier needs confirmation

Usable depth: 400472 recent depth/volume.

Low integrity-risk score for the current quote.

Risk flag: very close to close.

No linked catalyst in stored news impacts yet.

Skip if you cannot identify a concrete source, rule detail, or timing catalyst.

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AI Analysis Gemini

54%

AI estimate

Alabama typically holds a significant talent and depth advantage over Mississippi State, giving them a slight edge to cover a relatively short 5.5-point spread.

Edge: Market prices the spread evenly at 50%, whereas Alabama's baseline talent advantage warrants a slightly higher probability to cover.

AI DISAGREES

With the market deadlocked

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50% Alabama 50% Mississippi State $527.4K vol 24h

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