Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 25 12:00 PM ET to October 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main fe...
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Anonymous • One vote per person
Since today is the final day of the measurement period, the cumulative tweet count is almost completely locked in within the specified 220-239 range.
This market is severely mispriced, as predicting a hyper-specific tweet range nearly two years in advance is fundamentally unpredictable, making a 97% "Yes" probability absurd. Investors should strongly consider buying the underpriced "No" shares at 3% to capture an asymmetric risk-reward opportunity or exploit the high 24-hour volume for an arbitrage exit.
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