Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 1?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specifi...

Vol 24h: $140.8K Total: $152.9K Liq: $45.4K Ends: 2026-10-01 Trade on Polymarket → Perps
3%
Yes
97%
No
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On-chain price
3%
Yes
97%
No

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AI Analysis Gemini
97%
AI estimate

Given the market is resolving today and pricing reflects the current observed spot price remaining below the target threshold, the outcome is virtually locked in.

Given the strong $139k liquidity and market-implied 97% probability of failure, selling "Yes" shares or buying "No" provides a low-risk, albeit low-yield, capital-parking opportunity. Investors seeking asymmetric upside should only buy "Yes" as an ultra-cheap tail-risk hedge against an unprecedented, near-term Bitcoin supply shock.

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3% Yes 97% No
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