Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner

This market refers to the Dota 2 Decider match between 1win and Team Nemesis in the BLAST Slam Group B, initially scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1w...

Vol 24h: $677.0K Total: $677.1K Liq: $607.6K Ends: 2026-10-02 Trade on Polymarket → Perps
100%
1win
0%
Team Nemesis
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On-chain price
100%
1win
0%
Team Nemesis

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Avoid / wait integrity risk playbook 11m ago

Integrity risk

Price may be fragile or easy to move

Avoid sizing from headline price alone

Side Avoid or size down Immediate YES 100% / NO 0% vol $667k liq $626k risk 82/100
Catalyst verifier avoid or wait
Usable depth: 666916 recent depth/volume.
High integrity risk; treat as avoid/wait.
Risk flag: near-resolution price.
Risk flag: very close to close.
Only revisit after depth, volume, and rule clarity improve.
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AI Analysis Gemini
92%
AI estimate

1win holds a massive tier disparity and execution advantage over Team Nemesis in professional Dota 2, making an upset in an individual map highly unlikely.

At 95% implied probability, 1win offers negligible upside with severe tail risk, making it an inefficient capital lockup despite the deep $518k liquidity. Investors should either avoid this market entirely or allocate a micro-stake on Team Nemesis at 5% (20:1 payoff) to exploit inherent live-draft and Dota 2 volatility.

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