China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Quentin Halys in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur'...

Vol 24h: $684.4K Total: $686.1K Liq: $236.5K Ends: 2026-10-09 Trade on Polymarket → Perps

100%

Alex de Minaur

Quentin Halys

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On-chain price

100%

Alex de Minaur

Quentin Halys

Community Lobby

Rep-weighted

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Avoid / wait integrity risk playbook 6m ago

Integrity risk

Price may be fragile or easy to move

Avoid sizing from headline price alone

Side Avoid or size down Immediate YES 100% / NO 0% vol $589k liq $237k risk 73/100

Catalyst verifier avoid or wait

Usable depth: 588586 recent depth/volume.

Medium integrity risk; size down or wait for confirmation.

Risk flag: near-resolution price.

Risk flag: close to close.

Only revisit after depth, volume, and rule clarity improve.

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AI Analysis Gemini

88%

AI estimate

Alex de Minaur is the significantly higher-ranked and more consistent hard-court player, though a 95% market implied probability slightly overstates his dominance against a dangerous big server like Quentin Halys.

risk of upset

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100% Alex de Minaur 0% Quentin Halys $684.4K vol 24h

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