Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the pr...

Vol 24h: $156.0K Total: $221.6K Liq: $25.9K Ends: 2026-10-08 Trade on Polymarket → Perps
98%
Yes
2%
No
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On-chain price
98%
Yes
2%
No

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98% Yes AI estimate that the answer is Yes · market says 98%

With Bitcoin trading comfortably well above $80,000 and resolution occurring today, there is virtually no remaining downside risk to fail the threshold.

With "Yes" odds at 98%, this market offers a poor risk-to-reward ratio for long bets and is effectively functioning as a low-yield capital lockup. Investors should either avoid deploying new capital due to the negligible 2% upside, or allocate a strictly speculative micro-position to "No" at 2% as an asymmetric hedge against a catastrophic, short-term Bitcoin flash crash before October 8.

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