Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the pr...
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Anonymous • One vote per person
Given the target date is today and current market pricing heavily reflects real-time spot prices comfortably exceeding $82,000, the probability of closing above that threshold is extremely high.
With "Yes" heavily priced in at 94% on solid liquidity, capital is inefficiently locked up for a mere ~6% yield unless you are holding to expiration as a low-risk, cash-equivalent play. Investors should avoid buying "Yes" at this premium and instead look to sell existing "Yes" positions to take profits, or place a tiny asymmetric bet on "No" to exploit potential short-term volatility or a flash crash.
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