Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in t...

Vol 24h: $80.4K Total: $295.8K Liq: $116.5K Ends: 2026-10-26 Trade on Polymarket → Perps

42%

Yes

58%

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42%

Yes

58%

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Related News

● Flavio Bolsonaro slightly leads Lula in Brazil runoff, Quaest poll shows - Reuters ● Brazil’s elections, security and strategic autonomy - The International Institute for Strategic Studies ● Poll shows Bolsonaro with slight lead over Lula ahead of Brazilian run-off - Al Jazeera ● Governors allied with Flávio Bolsonaro set to lead majority of Brazilian Amazon states - news - Mongabay ● REACTION: Flávio Bolsonaro and Lula Advance to Brazil’s Presidential Runoff - Americas Quarterly

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42% Yes 58% No $80.4K vol 24h

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