Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the pr...
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Anonymous • One vote per person
Since the resolution date is today and market odds are overwhelmingly priced at 93%, Bitcoin's spot price is almost certainly already trading well above $82,000 barring an unprecedented intraday collapse.
Priced at 93%, the "Yes" contract offers an unattractive risk-to-reward ratio with only a 7.5% potential payout, making capital lockup inefficient against the tail risk of Bitcoin's typical short-term volatility. Investors should avoid buying "Yes" and instead look to either short the market if Bitcoin’s spot price is currently lingering near the $82,000 strike, or allocate capital to higher-yield opportunities given the decent $184k daily liquidity.
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