Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the pr...
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Anonymous • One vote per person
Given that the target date is today and Bitcoin has well established price levels above $80,000 following its historical cycles, the probability of closing above this threshold is near certain barring an unprecedented flash crash.
With "Yes" priced at 96%, the market has effectively priced in this outcome, offering an unappealing ~4% return that ties up capital against catastrophic tail risk. Investors should either avoid the low upside of the "Yes" side or, if holding a contrarian macro view, allocate a small speculative hedge to "No" for an asymmetric 24:1 payout.
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