Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winner

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand Final match between Vitality and MOUZ in the ESL Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve ...

Vol 24h: $704.3K Total: $1.1M Liq: $54.4K Ends: 2026-10-11 Trade on Polymarket → Perps
84%
Vitality
16%
MOUZ
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On-chain price
84%
Vitality
16%
MOUZ

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AI Analysis Gemini
72% Vitality AI estimate that the answer is Vitality · market says 84%

While Vitality holds a clear tactical and individual advantage in decider maps, an 84% implied probability is slightly too steep against an elite tier-one contender like MOUZ.

At 84% implied probability, Vitality is heavily overbought for a high-variance decider map in Counter-Strike, leaving virtually no upside for risk-tolerant capital. Backing MOUZ at 16% (better than 6-to-1 payout) represents the only actionable +EV play here, especially given the deep $704k liquidity pool that allows for a small, opportunistic underdog position.

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84% Vitality 16% MOUZ
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