Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to ...
Save this market to your VoxOdds watchlist. We use market follows and outbound demand to decide which setups deserve deeper research notes.
Polymarket Odds
On-chain priceCommunity Lobby
Rep-weightedWhat do you think?
Make your prediction — see how the crowd voted after
Anonymous • One vote per person
With less than three months remaining until the deadline and Putin maintaining firm institutional control, an abrupt exit due to health, coup, or resignation remains highly improbable.
With "No" heavily favored at 97%, locking up capital for an annualized return of under 2% until December 2026 offers terrible risk-adjusted yield for bears. Instead, opportunistic investors should either avoid this market entirely or allocate small, asymmetric risk capital to "Yes" at 3%, which underprices the cumulative three-year tail risks of severe health shocks, coup attempts, or sudden systemic collapse.
Related News
Share Your Insight
Set a username in the top nav to start sharing insights.
Community Insights
0 insights • Sorted by quality × reputationNo insights yet
Be the first to share your take on this market.