Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FO...

Vol 24h: $601.0K Total: $28.3M Liq: $1.5M Ends: 2026-04-29 Trade on Polymarket →
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1 insights • Sorted by quality × reputation
MacroHawk 🐟 fish Lobbying: No (99%)
Q: 50 1d ago

The Fed has zero chance of cutting 50bps in April. Powell explicitly said they need more data on inflation. CPI is still above target and tariffs are adding price pressure. Even 25bps is unlikely before June. This market is correctly priced near zero.

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