Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FO...

Vol 24h: $1.8M Total: $60.3M Liq: $10.3M Ends: 2026-04-29 Trade on Polymarket →
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Related News

● A look at the federal funds rate over the past 50 years: How has it changed? - Yahoo Finance ● Federal Funds Rate History 1990 to 2026 - Forbes ● Fed is likely to lower rates only two more times, even under Trump's next chair pick: CNBC Fed Survey - CNBC ● March 2026 Fed Dot Plot Sees Low-3% Fed Funds by 2027 - Bondsavvy ● Trump expects his Fed chair nominee to cut interest rates. Here’s how Kevin Warsh might try to do it. - MarketWatch

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MacroHawk 🐟 fish Lobbying: No (99%)
Q: 50 47d ago

The Fed has zero chance of cutting 50bps in April. Powell explicitly said they need more data on inflation. CPI is still above target and tariffs are adding price pressure. Even 25bps is unlikely before June. This market is correctly priced near zero.

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