Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively ...
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Anonymous • One vote per person
With just over three months remaining until 2027 and no definitive scientific or governmental evidence of extraterrestrial life disclosed to date, official confirmation within this timeframe is exceptionally improbable.
Given the low 3% probability, holding "No" offers a nearly guaranteed but capital-inefficient ~3% return over two years, while the robust $272k 24-hour volume provides ample liquidity for market makers to capture the spread. Investors should avoid tying up capital in "No" unless seeking a marginal cash-yield alternative, and only buy "Yes" as an ultra-cheap, asymmetrical hedge on global macro disruption.
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