Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 3?
With the market pricing a 91% probability of Bitcoin staying above $84,000 and solid 24-hour volume of $128k, buying "Yes" offers a low-margin capital-preservation play for conservative yield. However, the asymmetric risk-reward strongly favors contrarian investors buying "No" at 9% to cheaply hedge against potential short-term crypto volatility or flash crashes ahead of the October 3 expiration.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is
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Market resolves: 2026-10-03