Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30?
At 96% odds, the "Yes" contract offers minimal upside for capital that will be locked up until September 30, making it an inefficient risk-to-reward trade despite strong market consensus. Unless you are looking to park large capital for a near-guaranteed ~4% yield, the actionable trade is to avoid this market entirely, or use the 24-hour liquidity to buy cheap "No" shares solely as an asymmetric, low-cost tail-risk hedge against a severe Bitcoin flash crash.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is
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Market resolves: 2026-09-30