Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?

Current Prediction Market Odds Updated hourly
52%
Yes
48%
No
Volume 24h: $130.6K Total volume: $145.4K Liquidity: $46.9K

With the market pricing a near coin-flip at 52% and solid liquidity ($130k+ volume), investors should avoid taking outright directional exposure on "Yes" due to the negative risk-to-reward ratio. Instead, look to capitalize on short-term spot volatility by placing limit buy orders on "No" at 45¢ or below to capture upside if Bitcoin faces resistance below the $86k strike leading into the October 2 expiry.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is

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Market resolves: 2026-10-02

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