Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?
With the market pricing just an 11% probability of Bitcoin crossing $86,000 by September 21, the deep discount on "Yes" shares offers an asymmetric, high-reward lottery play if you anticipate a massive short-term catalyst or unexpected volatility squeeze. However, given the strong consensus (89% "No") and healthy $186k 24-hour liquidity, conservative investors should capture the steady yield by taking the "No" side, provided current spot prices remain substantially below the target strike.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is
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Market resolves: 2026-09-21