Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?
Given that the target dates are in August 2026—over a year away—the 85% probability for such a narrow posting range (65–89 tweets) drastically underprices Musk's extreme posting volatility and platform changes over time. **Actionable advice:** Buy "No" at 15% (or short "Yes") to capitalize on an overconfident market, as forecasting exact multi-day social media volume years in advance carries a much wider distribution than current odds reflect.
About this market
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by
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Market resolves: 2026-08-19