Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?
With Elon Musk's long-term posting frequency subject to extreme variance and potential platform shifts over a two-year horizon, locking capital into this hyper-specific 90–114 tweet range carries an unfavorable risk-to-reward ratio. Investors should avoid taking a position at the current 13% "Yes" / 87% "No" odds, as the 2026 resolution date creates excessive opportunity cost despite the solid 24-hour liquidity.
About this market
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by
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Market resolves: 2026-08-19