Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?
At a 99% probability for "No," this market offers virtually no upside and ties up your capital for over two years for a negligible yield with asymmetric downside risk. Investors should look to provide liquidity for fee capture on the high volume or entirely avoid taking a directional position due to the severe opportunity cost.
About this market
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 1 12:00 PM ET to October 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by
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Market resolves: 2026-10-03