Powered by Kalshi Research

France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?

Current Prediction Market Odds Updated hourly
14%
Yes
86%
No
Volume 24h: $230.4K Total volume: $288.0K Liquidity: $98.2K

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a legally binding decree declaring a state of emergency (état d'urgence) in France enters into effect at any point between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a "state of emergency" (état d'urgence) as defined by Law No. 55-385 of April 3, 1955 (Loi n° 55-385 du 3 avril 1955 relative à l'état d'urgence). Only d

Think you have an edge? Share your analysis or trade this market.

Market resolves: 2027-01-01

Get the edge — weekly

Top divergences, biggest movers, and survey insights. No spam.