NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
Current Prediction Market Odds
Updated hourly
19%
Yes
81%
No
Volume 24h: $260.7K
Total volume: $245.5K
Liquidity: $57.8K
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of a NATO country and Russia between market creation and November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between NATO and Russian military forces. Non-violent actions, such as airspace violat
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Market resolves: 2026-11-16